Posts: 3,727
Threads: 6
Joined: Oct 2012
Reputation:
95
24-06-2016, 10:54 AM
(This post was last modified: 24-06-2016, 11:06 AM by specuvestor.)
Without ASEAN Singapore doesn't even have a voice. You can say Euro is lame but without EU, US would have no counterbalance in USD or politics. Without lame NATO USSR would not be contained though people know US is the might behind NATO.
Membership has its privileges. That's why UK unilaterally join China's ADB. It is another posturing.
Read LKY's books which is quite revealing about international politics. Disclaimer: I am a fan of pre-1980s LKY era.
I'm not even sure how Putin's strategy on Crimea, Ukraine and Syria is considered predictable even as oil plunges and Rubles goes to waste. North Korea is playing roulette... Putin is playing Bridge... there's a difference.
Economically GB growth is likely going to lag behind unless like I posted above, they are going to reposition as US or China centric, which IMHO is even tougher. It won't be overnight but I always remember the richest country 50 years ago in ASEAN was Burma and most stable was Phillippines. Ceylon was center of administration prowess. The mighty pound post WW2 is reduced to even third place after Deutsche Mark. It takes just one generation of decision makers of 50 years which I am unsure that SG50 had got the message.
I came to realise things don't happen by accident; they happen on purpose. Ditto the newsflows on stocks
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward
Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
Posts: 275
Threads: 24
Joined: Nov 2010
Reputation:
3
24-06-2016, 11:18 AM
(This post was last modified: 24-06-2016, 11:18 AM by newborn1000.)
262 of 382 declared
51.5% leave vs 48.5% stay
STI taking a beating -2%
Counting should ending in the next few hours
Posts: 158
Threads: 20
Joined: Jan 2011
Reputation:
5
If Britain exits EU, the possibility of Scotland leaving UK will be higher.
The only way to avoid making mistakes is not to do anything. And that … will be the ultimate mistake. - Goh Keng Swee
A pessimist complains about the wind; an optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails. - W. A. Ward
Learn from the mistakes of others. You won't live long enough to make them all yourself. - Jane Bryant Quinn
人生最大錯誤,用健康換取身外之物。 ^ 人生无常,珍惜当下。 ^ 放弃固执,适时变通。 ^ 前面是绝路,希望在转角。
Posts: 2,295
Threads: 27
Joined: Jul 2012
Reputation:
41
24-06-2016, 11:26 AM
(This post was last modified: 24-06-2016, 11:28 AM by CY09.
Edit Reason: edits
)
I am quite surprised at the results. If what I am seeing is the eventual outcome, my warchest and CPF OA will be empty soon
The gap has widened to 600,000 for the leave camp as of writing
Another question is what is the magnitude of reprecussions to other EU members, Especially when countries like Greece is still in financial peril
Posts: 9,841
Threads: 711
Joined: Mar 2012
Reputation:
64
(24-06-2016, 11:26 AM)CY09 Wrote: I am quite surprised at the results. If what I am seeing is the eventual outcome, my warchest and CPF OA will be empty soon
The gap has widened to 600,000 for the leave camp as of writing
Another question is what is the magnitude of reprecussions to other EU members, Especially when countries like Greece is still in financial peril
From another perspective, time for shopping, with great sales?
“夏则资皮,冬则资纱,旱则资船,水则资车” - 范蠡
Posts: 3,727
Threads: 6
Joined: Oct 2012
Reputation:
95
24-06-2016, 11:34 AM
(This post was last modified: 24-06-2016, 11:38 AM by specuvestor.)
(24-06-2016, 11:29 AM)CityFarmer Wrote: (24-06-2016, 11:26 AM)CY09 Wrote: I am quite surprised at the results. If what I am seeing is the eventual outcome, my warchest and CPF OA will be empty soon
The gap has widened to 600,000 for the leave camp as of writing
Another question is what is the magnitude of reprecussions to other EU members, Especially when countries like Greece is still in financial peril
From another perspective, time for shopping, with great sales?
I had actually wanted to say that this is a good example of inefficient market, or the fallacy that current price (ie yesterday) is best predictor.
But 3 years from now nobody will remember cause the voice of the efficient market theorists and academics are much louder. The loudest have the last say, the drunken driver has the right of way
Before you speak, listen. Before you write, think. Before you spend, earn. Before you invest, investigate. Before you criticize, wait. Before you pray, forgive. Before you quit, try. Before you retire, save. Before you die, give. –William A. Ward
Think Asset-Business-Structure (ABS)
Posts: 275
Threads: 24
Joined: Nov 2010
Reputation:
3
This is exhilarating even though i am all cash..........
Leave 51.8% vs 48.2% remain
800,000 votes lead for leave
already 294 of 382 areas counted
Era of the Bears?
Posts: 2,744
Threads: 23
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation:
25
"... but quitting while you're ahead is not the same as quitting." - Quote from the movie American Gangster
Posts: 3,104
Threads: 122
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation:
45
(24-06-2016, 11:35 AM)newborn1000 Wrote: This is exhilarating even though i am all cash..........
Leave 51.8% vs 48.2% remain
800,000 votes lead for leave
already 294 of 382 areas counted
Era of the Bears?
GROWL!!!
the world economy is already in the doldrums kept alive only by central bank stimulus and support. This is probably just the beginning. Could very well be the unexpected trigger for markets unravelling. A lot of funds will be exiting from Europe and emerging markets back to safe haven assets like USD cash or gold or YEN.
This preliminary drop in markets is an excellent example of how important a loaded elephant gun is. When the dust settles can just take your pick of blue chips to buy. Happy days for patient value investors.
very the exciting. Particularly wanna see how this affect China property and economy. SSE down not much but hongkong and HSBC bye bye liao..
hmm maybe time to be contrarian and start looking at HSBC, just like when citibank down to $1 during GFC times.
Posts: 275
Threads: 24
Joined: Nov 2010
Reputation:
3
% wise is the same lead
But the votes count has widen to almost 1 million towards leave
338 of 382 has been counted
It will take something special to reverse this.....
STI is in free fall -2.5%
|