Paragon REIT (formerly SPH REIT)

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#31
https://www.drwealth.com/sph-sgxt39-coul...lued-play/

The article explained why the selling will continue and also quoted examples of stocks dropped out of STI and their eventual fates ..

SPH Share price may see continued selling pressure and may follow the similar path .....

$1 may be a good price to catch ...


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#32
(19-06-2020, 08:44 AM)Curiousparty Wrote: https://www.drwealth.com/sph-sgxt39-coul...lued-play/

The article explained why the selling will continue and also quoted examples of stocks dropped out of STI  and their eventual fates ..

SPH Share price may see continued selling pressure and may follow the similar path .....

$1 may be a good price to catch ...


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This was the announcement of SPH reit .
“risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.”
I don’t look to jump over 7-foot bars: I look around for 1-foot bars that I can step over.
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#33
Source: https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/co...-all-units


Quote:SPH REIT chairman Leong and wife sold all units

SINGAPORE (July 21): Leong Horn Kee, chairman of SPH REIT, has sold all his 300,000 units into the open market. Leong’s wife, Chuang Lee Eng, similarly, sold all her 200,000 units as well.  They sold at an average of 86.5 cents. Leong isn’t the only insider selling SPH REIT recently. On June 17, labour movement National Trade Union Congress sold 400,000 units for $355,960, or an average of 89 cents.

With that sale, NTUC has trimmed its stake from 5.012% to 4.998%, which means it isn’t obliged to declare further selling. SPH REIT’s key assets are Paragon and Clementi Mall.   SPH REIT closed July 21 unchanged at 88 cents.
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#34
Rainbow 
SPH REIT eAGM QnA
With border restrictions still in place, recovery of the medical tourism industry (in relation to foreign patients seeking medical treatment in Singapore) will be slow. For 

Singaporeans and those residing in Singapore, during the Circuit Breaker, only “essential” medical services could be rendered and these included general practitioners and acute procedures. With effect from 2 June 2020, this was relaxed to cover more medical procedures. Upon the commencement of Phase 2 in June 2020, medical clinics were allowed to resume all healthcare services including recommended chronic diseases, cancer screening programs, statutory medical examinations and pre-employment medical screening.
https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SPH%20REI...eID=640465

Stay home and stay safe, everyone.
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#35
Are companies pivoting to SOA to privatize through an "all or nothing outcome" to avoid a "loss of free float but unable to delist" scenario?

So the external REIT manager and its sibling Times Properties have jointly given the reasons for wanting to delist the REIT. It is mentioned that its Orchard Road neighbors are undergoing AEI, will become strong future competitors and that is true. While I am not a retail czar, but I am pretty sure if your neighbors are better/stronger, the entire locale will become more attractive. In other words, everyone will probably enjoy an expanding pie than sharing one that doesn't change in size.

It is also mentioned that international luxury spending post pandemic is a quarter below 2019 peak. That doesn't even pass the smell test! LVMH with its 80+ Maisons, had a revenue of ~85bil euros in the last 2 FYs and that is 60% above its FY19 revenue of 53bil euros.

Finally a figure of 300-600mil is touted as the total CAPEX required for an AEI, derived based on Paragon's gross floor area. This translates to a proforma ~10-40% cut in DPU and will surely spook minorities I suppose.

CUSCADEN PEAK AND PARAGON REIT JOINTLY ANNOUNCE PROPOSED SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT TO PRIVATISE PARAGON REIT

However, Paragon’s premier upscale status is being challenged by malls undergoing major upgrades and upcoming redevelopments in the surrounding catchment (e.g. Ming Arcade, Tanglin Shopping Centre, Forum The Shopping Mall, voco Orchard Singapore, and HPL House), which are expected to significantly ramp up competition once completed.

In addition to these competitive pressures, a persistent slowdown in luxury spending postpandemic, with international luxury spending at 74%3 of its 2019 peak, has also weighed on Paragon’s performance.

Illustratively, if PARAGON REIT undertook a Potential AEI, and (a) incurred capital expenditure between S$300 million and S$600 million (fully debt-funded and fully drawn down in FY2024 at an all-in finance cost of 4.4%), and (b) experienced a decrease in Paragon’s NPI of between 10% and 40% for FY2024 due to potential business disruptions, this would collectively result in a decrease in net property income and an increase in interest expenses, and consequently reduce distributable income and DPU for PARAGON REIT.

https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Privatisa...eID=832663
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